Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.466052 0.545182 0.634041 0.741305 0.867405 1.011100 1.187503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.352039 0.457929 0.590385 0.768665 1.003059 1.301702 1.712692
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.284488 0.397853 0.550518 0.771999 1.086644 1.519933 2.165955
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.242969 0.360317 0.528097 0.786858 1.178540 1.753509 2.669473
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.204819 0.319293 0.491540 0.771474 1.218943 1.913012 3.083993
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.177125 0.288658 0.464286 0.763396 1.265456 2.083754 3.537700
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.157425 0.267154 0.447267 0.767457 1.329574 2.288535 4.075974
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.147493 0.260014 0.452077 0.807627 1.458927 2.619228 4.882881
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.138341 0.252686 0.455109 0.844310 1.586234 2.962905 5.766683
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.128567 0.242732 0.451836 0.868401 1.692745 3.282055 6.652906
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.118038 0.229852 0.441284 0.876744 1.769313 3.553383 7.485177
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.107282 0.215061 0.425062 0.871354 1.816997 3.772768 8.242561
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.095871 0.197773 0.402283 0.850612 1.832358 3.932840 8.910446
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.090893 0.193052 0.404355 0.882502 1.965415 4.364338 10.264903
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.083910 0.183139 0.394245 0.886343 2.036634 4.669479 11.376748
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.078796 0.176586 0.390410 0.903480 2.140379 5.063448 12.770875
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.071581 0.164400 0.372580 0.885737 2.158929 5.258911 13.700332
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.065760 0.154676 0.359104 0.876421 2.196500 5.505916 14.806912
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061448 0.147966 0.351788 0.881104 2.269810 5.853369 16.245408
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.060013 0.148018 0.360577 0.927435 2.457614 6.525379 18.708779
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.058362 0.147322 0.367438 0.969754 2.641259 7.215077 21.352404
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.056011 0.144554 0.368751 0.997550 2.789492 7.831023 23.893862
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.052936 0.139526 0.363645 1.007177 2.888173 8.322753 26.148482